Enhanced Forecasting Boosts Monsoon Prediction Accuracy for IMD

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has significantly improved its monsoon forecasting accuracy through the implementation of a Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) system. This approach, leveraging coupled global climate models, has reduced the forecast error to 2.28% between 2021 and 2024, compared to 7.5% in the previous four years. For 2025, IMD's prediction of the Southwest Monsoon was accurate within a model error range of ±4%. The department has also bolstered its monitoring infrastructure, increasing the number of rainfall stations and enhancing capabilities with satellite and radar technology. These improvements are part of broader efforts under India's Monsoon Mission and have helped refine both monthly and seasonal forecasts, ensuring timely warnings for extreme weather events.

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